Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves
Summary. This paper explains why some new technologies rapidly replace older ones while others take decades to gain traction. The authors develop a framework examining both competing technologies and their surrounding ecosystems. They identify four distinct patterns based on how easily new technology ecosystems can emerge and how much old technology ecosystems can extend. Analysis of ten technology transitions in semiconductor lithography equipment from 1972 to 2009 confirms their predictions about substitution speed.
Cite this article
Adner, R., & Kapoor, R.. (2015). Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves. Strategic Management Journal. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2363
Adner, Ron, and Rahul Kapoor. “Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves.” Strategic Management Journal, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2363.
Adner, Ron, and Rahul Kapoor. 2015. “Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves.” Strategic Management Journal. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2363.
@article{adner-2015-innovation-ecosystems-pace-substitution-re,
title = {Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves},
author = {Ron Adner and Rahul Kapoor},
journal = {Strategic Management Journal},
year = {2015},
doi = {10.1002/smj.2363},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2363}
}
TY - JOUR TI - Innovation ecosystems and the pace of substitution: Re‐examining technology S‐curves AU - Ron Adner AU - Rahul Kapoor JO - Strategic Management Journal PY - 2015 DO - 10.1002/smj.2363 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2363 ER -
Details
- DOI
- 10.1002/smj.2363
- Countries
- United States
- Regions
- North America
- Categories
- innovation-theory, regional-innovation-systems, general-innovation
- Added
- 2026-04-28