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Forecasting the market diffusion of disruptive and discontinuous innovation

Jonathan D. Linton · 2002 · IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management

Summary. This paper develops a forecasting model for disruptive and discontinuous innovations that accounts for multiple markets and learning curve effects. The model integrates diffusion forecasting theory with disruptive innovation literature and provides practical guidelines for application. The work addresses the growing need to predict market adoption of disruptive innovations as technological convergence accelerates.

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Linton, J. D.. (2002). Forecasting the market diffusion of disruptive and discontinuous innovation. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management. https://doi.org/10.1109/tem.2002.806723

Details

DOI
10.1109/tem.2002.806723
Countries
United States
Regions
North America
Categories
innovation-theory, general-innovation
Added
2026-04-28