Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios
Summary. This study optimizes long-term capacity expansion for an overloaded solar mini-grid in rural Ethiopia using 20-year projections under three demand growth scenarios. Battery and solar capacity expansions dominate costs, while the system cannot fully meet demand even under optimal expansion. The research shows critical trade-offs between minimizing costs and maximizing reliability, and demonstrates that supporting productive user demand improves financial viability and cost-effectiveness.
Cite this article
Wassie, Y. T., & Ahlgren, E. O.. (2023). Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios. Energy Sustainable Development/Energy for sustainable development. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305
Wassie, Yibeltal T., and Erik O. Ahlgren. “Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios.” Energy Sustainable Development/Energy for sustainable development, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305.
Wassie, Yibeltal T., and Erik O. Ahlgren. 2023. “Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios.” Energy Sustainable Development/Energy for sustainable development. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305.
@article{wassie-2023-long-term-optimal-capacity-expansion,
title = {Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios},
author = {Yibeltal T. Wassie and Erik O. Ahlgren},
journal = {Energy Sustainable Development/Energy for sustainable development},
year = {2023},
doi = {10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305}
}
TY - JOUR TI - Long-term optimal capacity expansion planning for an operating off-grid PV mini-grid in rural Africa under different demand evolution scenarios AU - Yibeltal T. Wassie AU - Erik O. Ahlgren JO - Energy Sustainable Development/Energy for sustainable development PY - 2023 DO - 10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305 ER -
Details
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.esd.2023.101305
- Countries
- Ethiopia
- Regions
- Africa
- Categories
- energy, regional-innovation-systems
- Added
- 2026-04-28